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The Ministry of Development and Social Assistance, Family and the Fight Against Hunger (MDS) brought important news this Friday (20). According to information from the Ministry, a large share of the children and adolescents registered in Bolsa Família in 2005 were no longer in the Single Registry in 2019.
In detail, in 2005, 11.6 million beneficiaries were between seven and 16 years old. Moving forward to 2019, approximately 7.45 million of these young people had left CadÚnico, totaling 64.1%. However, 2.37 million of them were still listed in the registry, now aged between 21 and 30.
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The study “Social Mobility in Brazil: a perspective on the first generation of Bolsa Família” generated these statistics, with the involvement of: Institute for Mobility and Social Development (IMDS), Oppen Social, Brazilian School of Economics and Finance of Fundação Getulio Vargas (FGV-EPGE), and Università Bocconi.
Read also:Bolsa Família Payment Will Arrive Earlier This Weekend; Check the Beneficiaries.
“We observed this significant movement of people leaving the Single Registry as an evolution, with individuals ceasing to be potential beneficiaries or candidates for social programs,” explained Valdemar Neto, from FGV-EPGE.
Data point to financial advancement among these young people
When individuals remain in CadÚnico, it indicates that their income has remained stable. However, when their income increases, exceeding the criteria, many leave the registry.
Thus, the analysis indicates a financial rise among those who were once young people in CadÚnico.
“The information released today shows a positive outlook. When analyzing the young people from the first Bolsa Família families, we noticed social progress. And Bolsa Família has been driving regional economies,” highlighted Minister Wellington Dias.
Regional variations in the statistics
In addition to the national data, the analysis offered regional insights. This detail caught the attention of the MDS, alerting the Government to regions with slower progress.
To clarify, from 2005 to 2019, 64.1% of young people left CadÚnico in Brazil. However, there were regional differences:
- South: -74%;
- Central-West: -72%;
- Southeast: -70%;
- North: -61%;
- Northeast: -58%.
The study also emphasized that regions with robust health and education systems have greater potential for social mobility.
Entry into the labor market
The study also examined these young people's integration into the formal labor market. Using data from the Annual Social Information Report (RAIS) from 2015 to 2019, approximately 5.2 million, or 44.7% of the initial total, appeared in RAIS at least once. However, the proportion of those who were in RAIS for five years fell to 14.4%.
These five years suggest more lasting employment, revealing that, despite entering the labor market, many encountered barriers to establishing themselves.
Gender, color and race disparities at work
Individuals from the Southeast and South regions showed greater persistence in RAIS. Analyzing gender, 34% of men were in RAIS for three or more years between 2015 and 2019, compared with 24% of women.
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When cross-referencing gender with color/race, 42% of white men remained in the formal labor market for three years or more, compared with 23% of Black women.
When comparing Black men and white women, both recorded 33%.
“We identified considerable mobility. Those in vulnerable situations experienced a significant impact, but we need to define the direction. The findings guide our next actions,” concluded Valdemar Neto.
